Hanson & Bussière 1998 - Table 3

Table 3
Predictors of general recidivism

Note
CI = Confidence interval; n = aggregated sample size; MMPI = Minnesota Multiphasic Personality Inventory; MDSO = mentally disorderen sexual offender.
a Values in parentheses represent number of studies.
*p < .05.    **p < .01.    ***p < .001.

Variable

Mdn

r+

95% CI

Q

na

Demographic factors

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Age

-.18

-.16

-.18 - -.14

74.106

***

8,250

(14)

Single (never married)   

-.14

-.11

.08 - .14

7.11

 

5,038

(9)

Minority race

.08

.10

.06 - .14

11.57

*

2,919

(6)

    With outlier

.10

.14

.11 - .17

49.35

***

3,358

(7)

Married (currently)

-.11

-.08

-.11 - -.06

28.37

***

6,445

(10)

Education

.00

.01

-.06 - .08

1.97

 

914

(3)

General criminality (nonsexual)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Juvenile delinquency

.20

.28

.22 - .34

15.03

*

1,113

(5)

    With outlier

.20

.20

.15 - .25

42.18

***

1,574

(6)

Admissions to corrections

.22

.25

.19 - .32

2.21

 

834

(3)

Prior offenses (any/nonsexual)

.25

.23

.21 - .25

52.63

***

7,565

(15)

Prior violent offenses

.18

.20

.14 - .26

6.89

 

1,184

(5)

Antisocial personality disorder

.23

.16

.13 - .19

9.27

 

3,977

(7)

MMPI 4: Psychopathic Deviate 

.09

.10

-.03 - .23

.82

 

239

(3)

Sexual criminal history

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Force or injury to victim

.11

.13

.08 - .18

.76

 

1,304

(3)

Prior sex offenses

.12

.12

.10 - .14

48.50

***

8,975

(15)

Related child victim

-.16

-.12

-.14 - -.10

31.65

**

6,735

(15)

Any child victims

-.12

-.08

-.11 - -.05

72.62

***

5,798

(14)

Stranger victim (vs. acquaintance)

.08

.07

-.02 - .16

2.92

 

465

(4)

Any adult male victims

.03

.07

.03 - .11

14.33

**

2,499

(5)

Rapist

.05

.05

.03 - .07

84.07

***

14,753

(19)

Young (vs. older) child

-.02

-.03

-.09 - .03

12.77

*

14,753

(7)

Exhibitionist

.05

.04

.01 - .07

12.70

*

5,467

(7)

Male child victim

.08

.03

.01 - .06

7.25

 

5,943

(11)

Sexual intrusiveness

-.08

-.03

-.12 - .06

16.84

***

438

(4)

Victims, children of both sexes

.01

.02

-.04 - .08

8.88

*

1,044

(4)

Female child victim

-.08

-.01

-.04 - .02

53.04

***

6,052

(11)

Sentence length

.01

.00

.06 - .06

1.13

 

1,034

(4)

    With outlier

.04

.08

.03 - .13

24.48

***

1,415

(5)

Sexual deviancy

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Phallometric assessment (children)

.19

.11

-.02 - .24

5.93

 

233

(3)

Legally classified as MDSO

.04

-.10

-.16 - -.04

15.36

***

1,053

(3)

Deviant attitudes toward sex

-.03

.06

-.05 - .17

1.94

 

338

(3)

    With outlier

-.04

-.01

-.10 - .08

8062

*

448

(4)

MMPI 5: Masculinity-Femininity

.02

.04

-.09 - .17

.39

 

239

(3)

Clinical presentation and treatment history

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Failure to complete treatment

.19

.20

.13 - .27

5.30

 

887

(7)

Denial of sex offense

.23

.12

.02 - .22

12.76

**

408

(3)

Low motivation for treatment

.13

.11

.05 - .19

4.66

 

614

(4)

Previously failed treatment for sexual offense

-.04

-.07

-.12 - -.02

4.71

 

1,380

(3)

Developmental history

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Negative relationship with mother

.14

.14

.03 - .25

1.13

 

350

(3)

Sexually abused as child

.00

.00

.01 - .19

6.71

*

473

(3)

General family problems

.06

.07

.00 - .14

4.50

 

698

(4)

Negative relationship with father

.00

.02

-.09 - .13

.94

 

335

(3)

Psychological maladjustment

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Any personality disorder

.22

.21

.09 - .33

4.63

***

273

(3)

Alcohol use during offense

.00

.12

.07 - .17

16.04

***

1,395

(3)

Alcohol abuse problem

.13

.11

.08 - .14

3.46

 

3,552

(5)

Anger problems

.11

.09

-.04 - .22

2.44

 

231

(3)

Anxiety

.08

.08

-.04 - .20

1.57

 

284

(4)

Severely disordered

.03

.03

.00 - .06

1.59

 

3,332

(3)

Any substance abuse problem

-.03

-.01

-.11 - .10

5.29

 

422

(3)

General psychological problem

-.05

-.01

-.11 - .09

5.95

 

364

(5)

Depression

.00

.01

-.10 - .12

2.57

 

354

(5)

Other psychological problems

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Low intelligence

-.01

.01

-.02 - .03

6.27

 

5.004

(4)

    With outlier

.00

.01

-.02 - .04

15.54

**

5,274

(5)